The recently imposed 25% tariffs on imported steel and aluminum are not expected to significantly raise car prices in the U.S., contrary to headlines. The American automotive industry relies more on domestic production of these metals than imports. Here are the key reasons:
1. High Domestic Sourcing:
– A significant portion of steel used by U.S. automakers is sourced domestically. For instance, Ford sources 90% of its steel from within the U.S., with only 10% coming from imports, primarily from Canada[4][5].
– Similarly, much of the aluminum used by automakers is produced domestically or imported from Canada, which has historically been a major supplier (70% of primary aluminum imports)[1][2].
2. Limited Exposure to Tariffs:
– Since most steel and aluminum used in auto manufacturing is domestically produced or sourced from North America, the impact of tariffs on imported materials is relatively limited for automakers like Ford, General Motors, and Stellantis[4][6].
– Even when imports are used, they often constitute a small percentage of total material consumption.
3. Localized Supply Chains:
– The U.S. automotive industry has well-established domestic supply chains for raw materials like steel and aluminum, reducing dependency on global imports[1][2].
While the tariffs may lead to some price increases due to market speculation and higher costs for suppliers who rely on imports, the direct impact on car prices is expected to be minimal because of the industry’s reliance on domestic raw materials.
Sources
[1] Regional analysis of aluminum and steel flows into the American … https://css.umich.edu/publications/research-publications/regional-analysis-aluminum-and-steel-flows-american-automotive
[2] Regional analysis of aluminum and steel flows into the American … https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jiec.13268
[3] Automakers brace for higher costs as steel and aluminum tariffs kick in https://www.npr.org/2025/03/12/nx-s1-5325933/steel-aluminum-tariffs-autos
[4] Trump steel, aluminum tariffs likely to drive up car costs, industry … https://apnews.com/article/trump-tariffs-automakers-cars-steel-c002e25a597b8936dae7de111e6653f1
[5] Tariffs on steel, aluminum likely mean higher costs for auto industry https://www.automotivedive.com/news/tariffs-trump-steel-aluminum-automotive/739872/
[6] Trump steel, aluminum tariffs likely to drive up car costs, industry https://business.inquirer.net/506204/trump-steel-aluminum-tariffs-likely-to-drive-up-car-costs-industry
[7] The U.S. Automotive Industry Supply Chain – Boise State University https://www.boisestate.edu/cobe/blog/2025/02/the-u-s-automotive-industry-supply-chain-challenges-and-transformations/
[8] How will US import tariffs affect the auto industry? https://atradiuscollections.com/uk/knowledge-and-research/news/how-will-us-import-tariffs-affect-the-auto-industry